CMJ ISSUE 1363 WEEK 38

Happy Autumn everyone! Now is when the fun starts! We are a short four weeks away from CMJ and I feel like we are on the verge of having peak reporters out there. I thought we would bust through that 300 reporter level this week but came in at 291. Next week I think.  

Ty Segall comes in at #1 yet again with 71% of all stations reporting.  The #2 record is still Spoon and in comparison they only have 49% of the stations.   So It might be a few weeks until someone takes over.  Death From Above 1979 moved up to #4 from #12 in their second week and that looks pretty impressive until you realize they only have 44% of the stations.

Karen O had a nice move as well  up to #8 in her second week and has %40 of stations
last weeks top add Drums comes in at #17 but only has 27% of the stations.

Notice the huge drop off.  Not that # of stations is the only predictor for success as New Pornographers has 36% and that is less than the any other record in the top 10 but the quality of stations is better and pushes the record higher.

While looking up the # of stations for every record would be way to time consuming I thought it would be fun to take an overall look at every 10th record so lets take a look we will look at all the top five as well.

1--71%
2--49%
3--36%
4--44%
5--45%
10--38%
20--27%
30--17%
40--18%
50--12%
60--09%
70--08%
80--13%
90--07%
100--06%
110--06%
120--04%
130--06%
140--03%
150--03%
160--03%
170--05%
180--03%
190--02%
200--03%

One thing that stood out to me were that there were pretty clear jumps.
200-140 were all pretty much the same. Then we saw a jump in the 130-100 range.  Another jump in the 90-60 range.   The big break of stations comes at the top 30 range. These records seem to be on another level than those below that mark.   I expected there to be more a difference between each group of ten though and it did surprise me that you could be 200 or 140 with pretty much the same amount of stations.

This weeks ADDS race was a fun one as there were multiple records by multiple companies that were actually good. This seemed to confuse the stations though and so many of them were stressed about how many good records they had.  Well hopefully it remains this way the rest of the year.  King Tuff ran away with the ADDS though with only 100 stations NOT adding the record and coming in at #82 on the charts. I said before I thought Ty Segall might keep #1 until the CMJ festival but if anyone is going to knock him off it will be King Tuff. Just a matter of when and not if.

There were some other big name records that should hang out in the top 10-5 range over the next few weeks and it will be interesting to look back in six weeks to see if the ADD position was a preview of how well the record did.   If I had to predict I bet some of the lower added records do better than some of the higher added ones. Just based upon my conversations with stations more people were excited about Whirr and Mr. Twin Sister than they were about most of those above them.  

Should be interesting to watch.   Let's continue the conversation on Twitter.