Thursday, February 13, 2014

CMJ RECAP ISSUE 1331 WEEK 6

Sorry for the delay everyone. I did not think anyone would miss a week but I am more than happy that you did. I have been debating on pushing the weekly blog back to Thursday as to be a bit more of a preview of the upcoming week as well as a recap of the last week.  So many promotion companies do not have everything up until Friday making it difficult to really write about the upcoming week.  I would love to be able to write more about what next weeks ADDS will do as opposed to what they just did.    For now I will keep trying to do this on Wednesday morning but any feedback is greatly appreciated.  As I also mentioned previously I started a wine blog www.corkreports.com and am trying to figure out when to post my reviews for that one as well.

So on to this past week. Well done Sharon Jones! If you would of asked me beforehand if I thought she would go #1 I would of thought with 100%  conviction NO. I would of been wrong.  She had a great run 3 weeks at #1 anytime of year is fantastic.  This week she falls to Dum Dum Girls who made the quick jump from 54--2--1 in three short weeks.

With Dum Dum Girls taking the top spot it sort of ends the chances for Damien Jurado and Mogwai both of whom I thought had excellent chances for #1 a few weeks ago.

This weeks #1 most added record was Broken Bells slightly over Angel Olsen.  I thought that Broken Bells would take the #1 spot but I did not think it would be close and checking the numbers throughout Monday it looked like it could be anyones game.  So the question we ask with every #1 most added record is... Do they have a shot at #1?

I think Broken Bells  is a fun one.  First off did the last one go #1?  It did not, it was not even #1 most added.  The week the last one went for adds it came in #3 most added with 75 ADDS.  Gorilliaz was #2 with 80 and Liars was #1 with 115.   Out of those three the only one that went #1 was Gorilliaz and they held it down for 5 strong weeks.  Broken Bells peaked out at #2, so not bad by any means, and Liars peaked at #7.  Crazy to look at that the #1 ADDED record ended up being the lowest of the three.  

So what does that mean for this Broken Bells record?   The first thing that comes to mind for me is that there is nothing else out there that looks like it is making a run. So that looks really good for both Dum Dum Girls and Broken Bells.  Second I look at ( and I feel stupid even saying this ) but I looked at the Pitchfork score for this record compared to the last. This one got a 5.4 the last a 7.2 . Neither of those will have much of an impact on what the record does I think.  For me if its an 8 or higher it helps and if it is a 4 or lower it hurts. Everything in the middle does nothing.   Last we need to look at what is coming soon, right now I am a little fuzzy on what could be competing with Broken Bells over the next few weeks.   With all that said I think it has a very good shot for #1.  The main thing that hurts it is Dum Dum Girls just getting there this week. I could see a situation where they are 1 and 2 for many weeks and some new record ends up jumping in there.   Or could Angel Olsen be the Gorilliaz?  I think it will be fun to watch.

Continuing on with this weeks ADDS I spent a lot of time asking stations this week what they were really enjoying at radio, as I like to do and the #1 record for this week was Temples. So many stations told me how much they liked this record. I am looking forward to checking it out soon.  The second most mentioned record, and I apologize for not including them in the mix for potential #1, was Hospitality.  They are at #7 currently on the top 200 in only week 3 but the same thing that might keep out Broken Bells will for sure keep out Hospitality and thats Dum Dum Girls.

Week three on the charts needs to be a good one, if you fall on week three then you are scrambling to try and get going back up to where you WERE  week 4 whereas if you went up on week three you can shoot for a new peak much easier.  So lets look at some other records in week three right now.

Drowners made an ok move from 12-15 but they started at 40 so it seems like a bit of a slow down, but being so close to top 10 ... so stressful that one.

Habibi made a nice move to 13 from 23 and started at 33. You can't be anything but happy with moves like that.  Should be in line for a top 10 I would think

Cibo Matto up to #18 from #29 and started at #35.  Better move in the 2nd week than the first. That is always a good sign.

Against Me! down to #19 from #16 and started at #32. You LOVE that first week jump from the 30's to almost top 15 but you hate to see the down already.  Looking at the big first week move though you hope that it was just a bunch of people not reporting and not a real decline.  I thought last week that top 10 was within reach. Now it seems like that will be very difficult.

Thank you for reading! Let's continue the discussion over on twitter @theanimalarrg

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