CMJ ISSUE 1284 RECAP

Another week and another week with Toro Y Moi at #1.  However I was wrong about a few things from last week, something I was not wrong about was that it is getting very tight up at the top.  It does look like we have seen the peak with Toro when they had 61% of the stations last week. This week they fall to 57%. At the same time Foxygen showed no signs of slowing as they maintain 55% of the stations.    Local Natives keeps the pressure on at #3 with 53% of the stations while Yo La Tengo keeps holding on at #4 with 44% ( propped up by a slew of larger stations) .

Last week I predicted a top 4 of Toro Y Moi, Local Natives Tegan and Sara and Yo La Tengo. 3 out of 4 is not half bad. I will get into this more when I have more data but I overestimated the strength of indies over labels.  It will be interesting to see what happens next week as Foxygen had a REAL shot of #1 this week and no doubt Local Natives will be pushing for #1 next week.  I have to believe that the Toro Y Moi run is over at this point and that next week we will see a new #1.  I don't see any other record having a real shot other than Foxygen and Local Natives but any of the rising top 10 could put themselves in position to take it soon. 

Lets look at this weeks top 10 overall in terms of both raw numbers and percentage change from the previous week.  

1) TORO Y MOI ( 57%)   +2 STATIONS  DOWN 4%
2) FOXYGEN  (55%) +11 STATIONS  STEADY %
3) LOCAL NATIVES(53%)  +23 STATIONS UP 4%
4) YO LA TENGO (44%)  -7 STATIONS  DOWN 6%
5) DUCKTAILS (49%)  + 21 STATIONS UP 4 %
6) UNKNOWN MORTAL ORCHESTRA(52%) + 27 STATIONS UP 5%
7) TEGAN AND SARA (48%) + 15 STATIONS UP 2 %
8) FIDLAR (44%)  +9 STATIONS  STEADY %
9) RA RA RIOT(41%) - 7 STATIONS DOWN 6%
10) THAO AND THE GET DOWN STAY DOWN(30%)  + 33 STATIONS UP 9%

You can see how different the top of the top 10 is from the bottom of the top 10.  As a general rule 60% of the stations is almost always a 1 record. A lot of the time it takes just around 55% In looking at last years numbers most #1 records had 55% to 63% of the stations. The lowest #1 record  last year had 53% of the stations while the highest had 78%( the most dominate #1 I have ever seen, it was Black Keys in case you were wondering)   The next few weeks will be interesting for sure.

Last weeks #1 most added record Frightened Rabbit stumbled out the gate coming in at 27. Pissed Jeans made a nice move to #16 from #132 and will be worth keeping an eye on. This weeks number one most added was Nick Cave and the Bad seeds with 131 adds the second most adds for any records this year behind Tegan and Sara.  Foals and STRFKR also gain over 100 adds. This week was all Nick Cave from start to finish with no real threat of anything else taking it.  I think the timing of the Nick Cave record will help it have a great chance at #1.  It is curious to note that no  Nick Cave record has gone #1 in the last 10 years. This time around feels different though.

I still think that there are about 5 records at radio now that could be the next few #1's . What do you think?

Lets look at all the other data.  We had 39 debuts this week the highest coming from Beach Fossils at #21.  The biggest move comes from Pissed Jeans jumping an impressive 122 spots!  The largest drop comes from Black Moth Super Rainbow going down 77 spots, however thats in its 14th week. In case you were wondering the record on the charts the longest right now is the Lumineers at 35 weeks!

Last weeks poll question asked, since 2005 what band has had the most #1 records. It is actually a 3 way tie. Iron and Wine, Black Keys and Animal Collective have each been #1 4 times since then!

Thanks for reading  be sure to follow me on twitter @theanimalarrg   and if there is anything involving college radio you have questions about please ask!